Lewie Lane vs Petr Nesterov — M25 Gentofte Round of 32
M25 Gentofte · ITF · Round of 32
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Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
Lane L.vs
Nesterov P.
Lewie Lane faces Petr Nesterov in the M25 Gentofte round of 32 on clay. Petr Nesterov holds the paper edge — ranked #365. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTCLane L.14%
Nesterov P.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Nesterov P. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Petr Nesterov carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
2.01 of last 5 on clay
Surface form5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
15 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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64%
1st serve points won·
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65%
2nd serve points won·
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54%
Service points won·
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61%
Return points won·
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40%
Break points saved·
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54%
Aces / match·
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4.3
Double faults / match·
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1.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
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83
Nesterov P.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.