N. Ianin vs Ryo Tabata — M15 Astana Round of 32

M15 Astana · ITF · Round of 32
RUS
N. Ianin
#1003ATP
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
JPN
Ryo Tabata
#874ATP
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Ianin N.
6-2 6-7 3-6
Tabata R.
Ianin N.
66431
Tabata R.
27762

Ryo Tabata defeated N. Ianin in the Round of 32 at the M15 Astana hard court tournament. The match went the full three sets, with Tabata taking the first set 2-6 before responding with a 7-6 win in the second. Tabata then won the deciding set 6-3 to advance.

Key context

  • Match story: Ryo Tabata dropped the opening set before beating N. Ianin 2–6 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Ianin N.Tabata R.
1st serve in·
—
66%
1st serve points won·
—
61%
2nd serve points won·
—
54%
Service points won·
—
58%
Return points won·
—
33%
Break points saved·
—
63%
Aces / match·
—
2.5
Double faults / match·
—
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Ianin N.64%
Tabata R.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ianin N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ianin N.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Tabata R.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.62 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw