Ugo Humbert vs Andres Martin — Washington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
Ugo Humbert
FRA
Ugo Humbert
#29ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWLWWW
—
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
Andres Martin
USAQ
Andres Martin
#322ATP
1337ELO
1332Hard ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLWWWWW
Humbert U.
vs
Martin A.

Ugo Humbert faces Andres Martin in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Ugo Humbert is the paper favourite — ranked #29, a roughly 510-point hard Elo advantage — but Andres Martin rides a 3-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Humbert U.81%
Martin A.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Humbert U. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Andres Martin carries the heavier recent load — 6 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Win streak: Andres Martin arrives on a 3-match winning run.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Humbert U.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Martin A.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+512 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1332
10.0Overall Elo 1868
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1337
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
6.3Won 72% in Usa (50)
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
Humbert U.Martin A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.1
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Humbert U.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Martin A.

Martin A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Humbert U.Martin A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
36
26
Break points saved·Dominant
97
60
Break points won·Even
16
14
Deciding sets·Clear edge
31
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Humbert U.Martin A.
Freshness·
—
44

Martin A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 119 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw