Julia Grabher vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur — W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 32

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Round of 32
Julia Grabher
AUT1
Julia Grabher
#107WTA
1613ELO
1593Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWWLL
—
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
GER
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
#356WTA
22 yrs
Last 10
LWLWWLWWWL
Grabher J.
vs
Lilly Sophie Steur J.

Julia Grabher faces Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur in the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas round of 32 on clay. Julia Grabher holds the paper edge — ranked #107. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Grabher J.84%
Lilly Sophie Steur J.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Grabher J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Julia Grabher carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 6 of 9 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Grabher J.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Lilly Sophie Steur J.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

18 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
Grabher J.Lilly Sophie Steur J.
1st serve in·Clear edge
61%
80%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
54%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
50%
Service points won·Even
54%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
51%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
43%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Grabher J.serving30% hold

wins 42% of points on serve vs Lilly Sophie Steur J.

Lilly Sophie Steur J.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Grabher J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Grabher J.Lilly Sophie Steur J.
Freshness·
87
—

Grabher J.: 8 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw