Anastasia Kulikova vs Thea FrodinW75 Lexington Round of 32

W75 Lexington · ITF · Round of 32
#389WTA
1419ELO
1403Hard ELO
26 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWWLWL
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#586WTA
17 yrs
Last 10
LWWLLLLWLW
Kulikova A.
vs
Frodin T.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Kulikova A.81%
Frodin T.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kulikova A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.57 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.0Won 33% in Usa (27)
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

18 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
49%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
4.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
7.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kulikova A.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Frodin T.

Frodin T.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Kulikova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Kulikova A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw