Anastasia Kulikova vs Thea Frodin β€” W75 Lexington Round of 32

W75 Lexington Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#314WTA
1419ELO
1403Hard ELO
$27kYTD
$242kCAREER
26 yrs Β· Left-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
2 β€” 1
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 Β·
hard
#540WTA
$17kYTD
$38kCAREER
17 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLWWLWWWLL
Kulikova A.
4-6 6-2 6-3
Frodin T.
Kulikova A.
4662
Frodin T.
6231

Anastasia Kulikova defeated Thea Frodin in the Round of 32 at the W75 Lexington tournament, coming back from a set down to win 4-6, 6-2, 6-3. Kulikova hit 2 aces and 4 double faults, while Frodin hit 5 aces and 14 double faults. Kulikova converted 45% of break points and won 5 service breaks, compared to Frodin's 38% conversion rate and 3 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
48%
42%
Service points wonΒ·Even
57%
54%
Return points wonΒ·Even
46%
45%
Break points savedΒ·Slight edge
58%
48%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
2.2
4.6
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
3.2
7.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 17:50 UTC
Kulikova A.79%
Frodin T.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Kulikova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.0Won 33% in Usa (27)
Surface transition
7.0Grass β†’ Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Clear edge
80
100

Kulikova A.: 2 days rest Β· 2 matches, 41 games (7d) Β· Frodin T.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30Β°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw