Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Hiroki MoriyaVancouver Qualifying Semi-final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#315ATP
1503ELO
1480Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 3rd on
#517ATP
1353ELO
1321Hard ELO
35 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLWLWL
Dylan Hara Friend J.
6-2 6-0
Moriya H.
Dylan Hara Friend J.
662
Moriya H.
200

Jay Dylan Hara Friend defeated Hiroki Moriya in the Vancouver semifinals, winning 6-2, 6-0 on hard courts. Friend served 5 aces to Moriya's 1 and converted 45% of break points, compared to Moriya's 0%. Friend secured 5 service breaks to Moriya's 0 in the match.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Dylan Hara Friend J.75%
Moriya H.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dylan Hara Friend J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+159 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1321
6.9Overall Elo 1503
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1353
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.02 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Dylan Hara Friend J.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw