Lisa Zaar vs Anna Lena FriedsamW100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 32

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Round of 32
#293WTA
1527ELO
1499Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10
LLLLWWLLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
#250WTA
1571ELO
1534Clay ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWWLWL
Zaar L.
vs
Lena Friedsam A.

Lisa Zaar faces Anna Lena Friedsam in the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas round of 32 on clay. Anna Lena Friedsam holds the paper edge — ranked #250, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Zaar L.34%
Lena Friedsam A.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lena Friedsam A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Anna Lena Friedsam rising, Lisa Zaar cooling.
  • Freshness: Lisa Zaar comes in with 8 days of rest and 18 games in 14d, vs Anna Lena Friedsam's 13 and 15.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 9 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1499
Surface ELO
5.4+35 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1527
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1571
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.24 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
79%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
39%
42%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Clear edge
53%
40%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.1
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zaar L.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Lena Friedsam A.

Lena Friedsam A.serving25% hold

wins 40% of points on serve vs Zaar L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
99

Zaar L.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Lena Friedsam A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw