Sebastian Sorger vs M. Figl — M25 Bolzano Round of 32

M25 Bolzano · ITF · Round of 32
AUT5
Sebastian Sorger
#481ATP
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLWWL
—
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
ITA
M. Figl
#1188ATP
22 yrs
Last 10
LWLWLLLWWL
Sorger S.
vs
Figl M.

Sebastian Sorger faces M. Figl in the M25 Bolzano round of 32 on clay. Sebastian Sorger holds the paper edge — ranked #481, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Sorger S.75%
Figl M.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sorger S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: Sebastian Sorger leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M25 Bolzano 1 2025.
  • Surface form: Sebastian Sorger 5 of 8, M. Figl 4 of 8 on clay recently — Sebastian Sorger the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: M. Figl carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sorger S.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Figl M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
0.71 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 11
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

6 matches

Statistics

This season
Sorger S.Figl M.
1st serve in·
62%
—
1st serve points won·
56%
—
2nd serve points won·
53%
—
Service points won·
55%
—
Return points won·
34%
—
Break points saved·
59%
—
Aces / match·
2.5
—
Double faults / match·
3.3
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-28M25 Bolzano 1R32claySebastian Sorger6-4 3-6 6-1

Draw