Sebastian Gima vs Francesco FerrariM25 Pitesti Round of 32

M25 Pitesti · ITF · Round of 32
#531ATP
1179ELO
1183Clay ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWLWL
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
#1411ATP
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLWWWL
Gima S.
vs
Ferrari F.

Sebastian Gima faces Francesco Ferrari in the M25 Pitesti round of 32 on clay. Sebastian Gima holds the paper edge — ranked #531. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Gima S.64%
Ferrari F.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gima S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 6 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.62 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

8 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
60%
1st serve points won·
67%
2nd serve points won·
53%
Service points won·
62%
Return points won·
37%
Break points saved·
52%
Aces / match·
3.5
Double faults / match·
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw