Aidan Mayo vs James DuckworthLos Cabos Round of 32

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32
#634ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLWLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#82ATP
1628ELO
1592Hard ELO
$488kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWLWLL
Mayo A.
vs
Duckworth J.

Aidan Mayo faces James Duckworth in the Los Cabos round of 32 on hard. James Duckworth holds the paper edge — ranked #82, a roughly 230-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Mayo A.46%
Duckworth J.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Hard Elo 1359
Surface ELO
7.9+233 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1380
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1628
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.13 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

9 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
33%
Break points saved·Clear edge
60%
74%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.9
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.4
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mayo A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Duckworth J.

Duckworth J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mayo A.

Serve advantage — Mayo A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
12
24
Break points saved·Clear edge
68
92
Break points won·Even
1
1
Deciding sets·Clear edge
7
21
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
52
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
52

Mayo A.: played today · 4 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw