Gabriele Pennaforti vs Giacomo CrisostomoM25 Bolzano Round of 32

M25 Bolzano · ITF · Round of 32
#792ATP
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLLLW
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
#1131ATP
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWWWLWW
Pennaforti G.
vs
Crisostomo G.

Gabriele Pennaforti faces Giacomo Crisostomo in the M25 Bolzano round of 32 on clay. Gabriele Pennaforti is the paper favourite — ranked #792 — but Giacomo Crisostomo arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 9 on clay to Gabriele Pennaforti's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Pennaforti G.75%
Crisostomo G.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Pennaforti G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

4 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
52%
1st serve points won·Dominant
74%
49%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
48%
33%
Service points won·Clear edge
64%
41%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
50%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
0.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.5
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Pennaforti G.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Crisostomo G.

Crisostomo G.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Pennaforti G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw