Kylie Collins vs Ena Koike — W75 Lexington Round of 32
W75 Lexington · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
Collins K.vs
Koike E.
Kylie Collins faces Ena Koike in the W75 Lexington round of 32 on hard. Ena Koike holds the paper edge — ranked #315, leading the head-to-head 1–0.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTCCollins K.33%
Koike E.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Koike E. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Kylie Collins 3 of 7, Ena Koike 5 of 7 on hard recently — Ena Koike the sharper of late.
- Head-to-head: Ena Koike leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W35 Rome, Ga 2026.
- Fatigue load: Ena Koike carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.0Won 50% in Usa (100)
Country comfort5.5Won 59% in Usa (34)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
23 vs 29 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
38%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
50%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.9
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
13.3
3.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | W35 Rome, Ga | R32 | hard | Ena Koike | 0-6 6-3 6-3 |