Gabriela Ce vs Sofia ShapatavaW50 Knokke-Heist Round of 32

W50 Knokke-Heist · ITF · Round of 32
#329WTA
1324ELO
1302Clay ELO
33 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
#456WTA
1192ELO
1192Clay ELO
37 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLLWW
Ce G.
vs
Shapatava S.

Gabriela Ce faces Sofia Shapatava in the W50 Knokke-Heist round of 32 on clay. Gabriela Ce holds the paper edge — ranked #329, leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Ce G.71%
Shapatava S.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ce G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Gabriela Ce has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 29 vs 6).
  • Head-to-head: Gabriela Ce leads the head-to-head 2–1. Last met at W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 6 2024.
  • Surface form: Gabriela Ce 5 of 8, Sofia Shapatava 3 of 8 on clay recently — Gabriela Ce the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+110 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1192
6.6Overall Elo 1324
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1192
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
3.63 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

17 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
55%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
51%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
47%
48%
Aces / match·Even
0.4
0.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ce G.serving32% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Shapatava S.

Shapatava S.serving38% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Ce G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
29
6
Break points saved·Clear edge
15
3
Break points won·Clear edge
74
59
Deciding sets·Dominant
89
48
Tiebreaks·
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-30W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 6R32claySofia Shapatava6-2 6-3
2021-06-26W60 CharlestonSFclayGabriela Ce6-3 6-0
2014-06-09Padova 25KR16clayGabriela Ce1-6 6-1 6-1

Draw