Luca Castagnola vs Luca Parenti — M25 Bolzano Round of 32
M25 Bolzano · ITF · Round of 32
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Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
Castagnola L.vs
Parenti L.
Luca Castagnola faces Luca Parenti in the M25 Bolzano round of 32 on clay. Luca Castagnola holds the paper edge — ranked #845. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTCCastagnola L.73%
Parenti L.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Castagnola L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Luca Parenti carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Both 3 of 4 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
1.92 of last 10 on clay
Surface form0.0Lost last 5
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
3 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
60%
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1st serve points won·
65%
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2nd serve points won·
33%
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Service points won·
52%
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Return points won·
37%
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Break points saved·
42%
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Aces / match·
1.0
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Double faults / match·
8.0
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Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.