Kaitlyn Carnicella vs Ekaterina KhayrutdinovaW35 Florence Round of 32

W35 Florence · ITF · Round of 32
#947WTA
21 yrs
Last 10
LLWLLWLWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#495WTA
22 yrs
Last 10
LWLWWLWLLW
Carnicella K.
vs
Khayrutdinova E.

Kaitlyn Carnicella faces Ekaterina Khayrutdinova in the W35 Florence round of 32 on hard. Ekaterina Khayrutdinova holds the paper edge — ranked #495.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Carnicella K.12%
Khayrutdinova E.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Khayrutdinova E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.13 of last 6 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.8Won 64% in Usa (25)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

5 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
54%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
38%
44%
Service points won·Even
50%
50%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.2
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.2
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Carnicella K.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Khayrutdinova E.

Khayrutdinova E.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Carnicella K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw