Lorenzo Carboni vs Gabriele CrivellaroM25 Bolzano Round of 32

M25 Bolzano · ITF · Round of 32
#472ATP
1161ELO
1166Clay ELO
20 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWLWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
#1252ATP
19 yrs
Last 10
LWLWLLLLWL
Carboni L.
vs
Crivellaro G.

Lorenzo Carboni faces Gabriele Crivellaro in the M25 Bolzano round of 32 on clay. Lorenzo Carboni holds the paper edge — ranked #472, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Carboni L.80%
Crivellaro G.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Carboni L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
64%
43%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Service points won·Clear edge
57%
42%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
53%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Carboni L.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Crivellaro G.

Crivellaro G.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Carboni L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Crivellaro G.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-26M15 Segrate 1QFclayLorenzo Carboni6-2 6-2

Draw