Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Andrea PellegrinoSan Marino Round of 32

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#389ATP
1282ELO
1278Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 5th on
#137ATP
1674ELO
1654Clay ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWLW
Caniato C.
4-6 0-6
Pellegrino A.
Caniato C.
400
Pellegrino A.
662

Andrea Pellegrino defeated Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Round of 32 at the San Marino tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-0. Pellegrino hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, while Caniato had 2 aces and 4 double faults. Pellegrino converted 62% of his break points and broke Caniato's serve 5 times, compared to Caniato's 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Caniato C.41%
Pellegrino A.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pellegrino A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.3Clay Elo 1278
Surface ELO
9.7+376 Clay Elo edge
0.1Overall Elo 1282
ELO gap
9.9Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
86

Caniato C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Pellegrino A.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw