Benjamin Bonzi vs Blaise Bicknell — Vancouver Round of 32

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Benjamin Bonzi
FRA1
Benjamin Bonzi
#101ATP
1749ELO
1713Hard ELO
$396kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWWL
—
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
JAMALT
Blaise Bicknell
#344ATP
1313ELO
1290Hard ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWLLWW
Bonzi B.
vs
Bicknell B.

Benjamin Bonzi faces Blaise Bicknell in the Vancouver round of 32 on hard. Benjamin Bonzi holds the paper edge — ranked #101, a roughly 420-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Bonzi B.66%
Bicknell B.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bonzi B. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Benjamin Bonzi has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 23 vs 0).
  • Fatigue load: Blaise Bicknell carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bonzi B.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Bicknell B.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+424 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1290
10.0Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1313
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
Bonzi B.Bicknell B.
1st serve in·Even
67%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.2
3.4
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bonzi B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bicknell B.

Bicknell B.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bonzi B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Bonzi B.Bicknell B.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
23
0
Break points saved·Dominant
94
49
Break points won·Slight edge
11
5
Deciding sets·Even
10
12
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
3

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Bonzi B.Bicknell B.
Freshness·
—
90

Bicknell B.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw