Takuya Kumasaka vs Florent BaxSamsun Round of 32

Samsun · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#556ATP
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 1st on
#247ATP
1399ELO
1387Hard ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWLWW
Kumasaka T.
6-7 3-6
Bax F.
Kumasaka T.
6330
Bax F.
7762

Florent Bax defeated Takuya Kumasaka in the Round of 32 of the Samsun hard-court tournament, winning 7-6, 6-3. Bax served 6 aces to Kumasaka's 2 and converted 38% of break points, compared to Kumasaka's 9%. Bax won 72% of first-serve points to Kumasaka's 63%, and secured 3 service breaks to Kumasaka's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Florent Bax closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
57%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
59%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Clear edge
53%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Kumasaka T.34%
Bax F.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bax F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
76

Kumasaka T.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Bax F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw