Berfu Cengiz vs Darya Astakhova — W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 32
Cengiz B.
Berfu Cengiz faces Darya Astakhova in the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas round of 32 on clay. Darya Astakhova is the paper favourite — ranked #227, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage — but Berfu Cengiz has won their only previous meeting. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Astakhova D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Berfu Cengiz leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W60 Istanbul 2023.
- Fatigue load: Darya Astakhova carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Berfu Cengiz 4 of 10, Darya Astakhova 5 of 10 on clay recently — Darya Astakhova the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadAstakhova D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-29 | W60 Istanbul | SF | clay | Berfu Cengiz | 6-2 2-1 |