N. Ciavarella vs Adrian Andreev — M25 Bolzano Round of 32

M25 Bolzano · ITF · Round of 32
ITA
N. Ciavarella
#986ATP
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLLLLL
—
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
BUL
Adrian Andreev
#1146ATP
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWWWW
Ciavarella N.
vs
Andreev A.

N. Ciavarella faces Adrian Andreev in the M25 Bolzano round of 32 on clay. N. Ciavarella is the paper favourite — ranked #986 — but Adrian Andreev arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on clay to N. Ciavarella's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Ciavarella N.24%
Andreev A.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Andreev A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: N. Ciavarella 1 of 10, Adrian Andreev 8 of 10 on clay recently — Adrian Andreev the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Adrian Andreev carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ciavarella N.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Andreev A.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.62 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

18 matches

Statistics

Recent form
Ciavarella N.Andreev A.
1st serve in·
—
62%
1st serve points won·
—
63%
2nd serve points won·
—
45%
Service points won·
—
56%
Return points won·
—
38%
Break points saved·
—
49%
Aces / match·
—
2.7
Double faults / match·
—
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw