Mert Alkaya vs Colin SinclairSamsun Round of 32

Samsun · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#298ATP
1358ELO
1337Hard ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 3rd on
#509ATP
31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
Alkaya M.
6-0 5-7 4-6
Sinclair C.
Alkaya M.
6541
Sinclair C.
0762

Colin Sinclair defeated Mert Alkaya in the Round of 32 at the Samsun hard-court tournament. Sinclair won the match 0-6, 7-5, 6-4. Sinclair converted 50% of his break points and secured 3 service breaks, while Alkaya converted 40% of his break points and secured 4 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
62%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
71%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Alkaya M.76%
Sinclair C.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Alkaya M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
86

Alkaya M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Sinclair C.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw