Miho Kuramochi vs Avery AlexanderVancouver Qualifying Final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#367WTA
1383ELO
1360Hard ELO
28 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTRE COURT ARTEMIS GOLD · 3rd on
#1015WTA
16 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLL
Kuramochi M.
7-5 6-3
Alexander A.
Kuramochi M.
762
Alexander A.
530

Miho Kuramochi won the Vancouver hard-court final, defeating Avery Alexander 7-5, 6-3. Kuramochi converted 73% of her break points and secured 8 service breaks, while Alexander converted 71% of her break points and secured 5 service breaks. The match saw Kuramochi commit 4 double faults and Alexander commit 2.

Around the match

  • It means so much. This is my first WTA level event and it's super special playing it in Canada, in Vancouver. I love this place.

    Alexander A.vanopen.com· 2026-07-26

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-23W35 SaskatoonR16hardMiho Kuramochi5-7 2-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Service points won·Even
54%
55%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.3
0.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Kuramochi M.80%
Alexander A.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kuramochi M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.82 of last 8 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Alexander A.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 84%

Draw