Janice Tjen vs Rebecca SramkovaWashington Round of 32

Washington · WTA · Round of 32
#38WTA
1658ELO
1684Hard ELO
$818kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLLWLLW
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
#136WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLWWWL
Tjen J.
vs
Sramkova R.

Janice Tjen faces Rebecca Sramkova in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Janice Tjen holds the paper edge — ranked #38, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Tjen J.65%
Sramkova R.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tjen J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
5 common opponents · Tjen J. 6–1 · Sramkova R. 1–5
Tjen J. better · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+55 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1629
5.1Overall Elo 1658
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1654
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.75 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.4Won 74% in Usa (23)
Country comfort
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

15 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.3
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tjen J.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sramkova R.

Sramkova R.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Tjen J.

Serve advantage — Sramkova R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
49
Break points saved·Dominant
84
18
Break points won·Clear edge
85
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
89
Tiebreaks·
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Sramkova R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
33°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw