Mia Ristic vs Darja Semenistaja — Targu Mures Round of 32
Ristic M.
Mia Ristic faces Darja Semenistaja in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Darja Semenistaja is the paper favourite — ranked #109, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage — but Mia Ristic arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay to Darja Semenistaja's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Darja Semenistaja has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 76 vs 19).
- Freshness: Mia Ristic comes in with 11 days of rest and 47 games in 14d, vs Darja Semenistaja's 5 and 50.
- Surface form: Mia Ristic 5 of 6, Darja Semenistaja 1 of 6 on clay recently — Mia Ristic the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadRistic M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Semenistaja D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.