Alice Rame vs Julie Struplova — Targu Mures Round of 32

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

FRA

Alice Rame

#265WTA

1339ELO

1349Clay ELO

28 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LWLLLLWLLL

—

Sets

Monday, 27 July 2026 · 11:00

clay

CZE

Julie Struplova

#207WTA

1403ELO

1386Clay ELO

21 yrs

Last 10

WWWWWLWWWW

Rame A.

Struplova J.

Alice Rame faces Julie Struplova in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Julie Struplova holds the paper edge — ranked #207, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC

Rame A.24%

Struplova J.76%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Struplova J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Surface form: Alice Rame 2 of 9, Julie Struplova 8 of 9 on clay recently — Julie Struplova the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Julie Struplova carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Head-to-head: Julie Struplova leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W35 Hammamet 6 2024.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Rame A.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Struplova J.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.5Clay Elo 1349

Surface ELO

5.5+37 Clay Elo edge

4.2Overall Elo 1339

ELO gap

5.8Overall Elo 1403

3.0Trails 0–1 on clay

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on clay

2.93 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.67 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 15 matches

Statistics

This season

Rame A.Struplova J.

1st serve in·Slight edge

62%

68%

1st serve points won·Even

57%

58%

2nd serve points won·Even

42%

Service points won·Even

52%

53%

Return points won·Even

46%

50%

Break points saved·Slight edge

46%

53%

Aces / match·Even

0.8

0.6

Double faults / match·Slight edge

2.2

2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Rame A.serving28% hold

wins 41% of points on serve vs Struplova J.

Struplova J.serving38% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Rame A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Rame A.Struplova J.

Freshness·

—

Rame A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

22°COvercast

Wind 3 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2024-04-26	W35 Hammamet 6	QF	clay	Julie Struplova	6-2 2-6 6-3