Anastasia Potapova vs Venus Williams — Washington Round of 32
Washington · WTA · Round of 32
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWWWLW
—
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
Potapova A.vs
Williams V.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTCPotapova A.89%
Williams V.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Potapova A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 months2 common opponents · Potapova A. 1–1 · Williams V. 0–2 · small sample
Mixed · hard to compare — different surfaces (Clay × Hard) · 8 months apart▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
7.3+188 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO2.7Hard Elo 1617
8.1Overall Elo 1904
ELO gap1.9Overall Elo 1654
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form0.71 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak0.0Lost last 11
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
26 vs 6 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
58%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
39%
Service points won·Even
57%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
53%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
2.8
Double faults / match·Even
4.9
4.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Potapova A.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Even
49
49
Break points saved·Clear edge
21
36
Break points won·Clear edge
79
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
30
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
87
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 76%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.