Inaki Montes De La Torre vs Sumit NagalLiberec Round of 32

Liberec · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#266ATP
1579ELO
1535Clay ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWWWWWW
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
#230ATP
1543ELO
1538Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWWW
Montes De La Torre I.
vs
Nagal S.

Inaki Montes De La Torre faces Sumit Nagal in the Liberec round of 32 on clay. Sumit Nagal holds the paper edge — ranked #230. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Montes De La Torre I.51%
Nagal S.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Inaki Montes De La Torre comes in with 5 days of rest and 32 games in 14d, vs Sumit Nagal's 4 and 87.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Inaki Montes De La Torre has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 35 vs 5).
  • Surface form: Both 7 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1535
Surface ELO
5.0+3 Clay Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1579
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1543
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.17 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

15 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
57%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Montes De La Torre I.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Nagal S.

Nagal S.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Montes De La Torre I.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
35
5
Break points saved·Clear edge
60
73
Break points won·Dominant
64
2
Deciding sets·Clear edge
24
4
Tiebreaks·
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
81

Montes De La Torre I.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Nagal S.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw