Joel Schwaerzler vs Maxim Mrva — Liberec Round of 32
Liberec · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
AUT3#185ATP
1577ELO
1537Clay ELO
$102kYTD
$301kCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLWLWL
—
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
Maxim Mrva
Last 10
LWLWL
Schwaerzler J.vs
Mrva M.
Joel Schwaerzler faces Maxim Mrva in the Liberec round of 32 on clay. Maxim Mrva brings the better recent clay form (2 of 5).
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTCSchwaerzler J.79%
Mrva M.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Schwaerzler J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Joel Schwaerzler comes in with 5 days of rest and 41 games in 14d, vs Maxim Mrva's 9 and 63.
- Surface form: Joel Schwaerzler 0 of 5, Maxim Mrva 2 of 5 on clay recently — Maxim Mrva the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedMrva M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
2.23 of last 10 on clay
Surface form4.02 of last 5 on clay
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
28 matches
Statistics
This seasonSchwaerzler J.Mrva M.
1st serve in·
62%
—
1st serve points won·
73%
—
2nd serve points won·
52%
—
Service points won·
65%
—
Return points won·
35%
—
Break points saved·
71%
—
Aces / match·
7.3
—
Double faults / match·
2.7
—
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadSchwaerzler J.Mrva M.
Freshness·Even
92
89
Schwaerzler J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Mrva M.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.