Sho Shimabukuro vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez — Los Cabos Round of 32
Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32
#97ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWWWLW
—
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
Shimabukuro S.vs
Pacheco Mendez R.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTCShimabukuro S.58%
Pacheco Mendez R.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 months1 common opponents · Shimabukuro S. 1–1 · Pacheco Mendez R. 1–0 · small sample
Pacheco Mendez R. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard) · incl. team event · ⚠ lower-tier event▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
6.5+119 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO3.5Hard Elo 1487
6.8Overall Elo 1672
ELO gap3.2Overall Elo 1526
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form6.57 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
21 vs 23 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
58%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
71%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.3
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Pacheco Mendez R.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
42
13
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
81
Break points won·Dominant
31
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
50
21
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
1
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 65%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.