Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paul — Washington Round of 32
USA
Majchrzak K.
Kamil Majchrzak faces Tommy Paul in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Tommy Paul is the paper favourite — ranked #24, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage — but Kamil Majchrzak has won their only previous meeting.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Paul T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Tommy Paul has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 90 vs 13).
- Head-to-head: Kamil Majchrzak leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Atlanta 2019.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-07-22 | Atlanta | Q2 | hard | Kamil Majchrzak | 7-6 6-4 |