Francesco Maestrelli vs Lukas Neumayer — San Marino Round of 32
Maestrelli F.
Francesco Maestrelli faces Lukas Neumayer in the San Marino round of 32 on clay. Francesco Maestrelli is the paper favourite — ranked #149 — but Lukas Neumayer arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 7 on clay to Francesco Maestrelli's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Neumayer L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Francesco Maestrelli 1 of 7, Lukas Neumayer 3 of 7 on clay recently — Lukas Neumayer the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadNeumayer L.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.