Soon Woo Kwon vs Edward WinterLos Cabos Qualifying Final

Los Cabos · ATP · Qualifying Final
#152ATP
1744ELO
1716Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
#355ATP
1434ELO
1404Hard ELO
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Woo Kwon S.
7-5 6-2
Winter E.
Woo Kwon S.
762
Winter E.
520

Soon Woo Kwon won the Los Cabos final, defeating Edward Winter 7-5, 6-2. Kwon hit 4 aces to Winter's 2 and converted 71% of his break points, compared to Winter's 33%. Kwon won 78% of his first-serve points to Winter's 61%, and secured 5 service breaks to Winter's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Soon Woo Kwon closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
53%
66%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
79%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.2
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Woo Kwon S.72%
Winter E.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Woo Kwon S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.9+312 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1404
8.9Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1434
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
10.010 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
64
63

Woo Kwon S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Winter E.: played today · 4 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw