Andreea Prisacariu vs Yelyzaveta KotliarTargu Mures Qualifying Final

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#466WTA
1291ELO
1262Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10
WLLLLWLWLW
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 1st on
#444WTA
1244ELO
1222Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10
WLLLWLWWLL
Prisacariu A.
vs
Kotliar Y.

Andreea Prisacariu faces Yelyzaveta Kotliar in the Targu Mures qualifying final on clay. Yelyzaveta Kotliar holds the paper edge — ranked #444. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Prisacariu A.28%
Kotliar Y.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kotliar Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.5+40 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Clay Elo 1222
5.6Overall Elo 1291
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1244
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
75%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
38%
41%
Service points won·Even
52%
54%
Return points won·Even
47%
51%
Break points saved·Even
47%
51%
Aces / match·Even
0.5
0.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Prisacariu A.serving25% hold

wins 39% of points on serve vs Kotliar Y.

Kotliar Y.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Prisacariu A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
99
90

Prisacariu A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kotliar Y.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw