Haruka Kaji vs Taylah Preston — Vancouver Round of 32

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

JPN

Haruka Kaji

#254WTA

1421ELO

1412Hard ELO

31 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWWLWLWL

—

Sets

Monday, 27 July 2026 · 10:00

hard

AUS3

Taylah Preston

#118WTA

1600ELO

1590Hard ELO

20 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWLWLLWW

Kaji H.

Preston T.

Haruka Kaji faces Taylah Preston in the Vancouver round of 32 on hard. Taylah Preston is the paper favourite — ranked #118, a roughly 180-point hard Elo advantage — but Haruka Kaji rides a 3-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC

Kaji H.26%

Preston T.74%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Preston T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Win streak: Haruka Kaji arrives on a 3-match winning run.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Kaji H.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Preston T.

6.5

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

2.8Hard Elo 1412

Surface ELO

7.2+178 Hard Elo edge

2.8Overall Elo 1421

ELO gap

7.2Overall Elo 1600

3.0Trails 0–1 on hard

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on hard

5.45 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

7.48 of last 10 on hard

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season

Kaji H.Preston T.

1st serve in·Even

68%

65%

1st serve points won·Even

58%

61%

2nd serve points won·Even

49%

48%

Service points won·Even

55%

57%

Return points won·Even

45%

49%

Break points saved·Even

51%

54%

Aces / match·Slight edge

1.1

1.8

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.1

3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Kaji H.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Preston T.

Preston T.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kaji H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Kaji H.Preston T.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Slight edge

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·

—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather forecast

16°COvercast

Wind 13 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.