Selena Janicijevic vs Anastasiya Soboleva — Targu Mures Round of 32
Janicijevic S.
Selena Janicijevic faces Anastasiya Soboleva in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Anastasiya Soboleva is the paper favourite — ranked #206, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage — but Selena Janicijevic has won their only previous meeting.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Soboleva A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Anastasiya Soboleva has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 43 vs Selena Janicijevic's 15).
- Surface form: Selena Janicijevic 4 of 10, Anastasiya Soboleva 8 of 10 on clay recently — Anastasiya Soboleva the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Anastasiya Soboleva carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-26 | W25 Heraklion | R16 | clay | Selena Janicijevic | 7-5 2-6 6-0 |