Greet Minnen vs Maddison Inglis — Vancouver Round of 32

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Greet Minnen
BEL
Greet Minnen
#176WTA
1723ELO
1667Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWLWWW
—
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
Maddison Inglis
AUS8
Maddison Inglis
#147WTA
1590ELO
1558Hard ELO
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLLLWL
Minnen G.
vs
Inglis M.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Minnen G.61%
Inglis M.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Minnen G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Minnen G. 0–1 · Inglis M. 0–1 · small sample
Both lost · different surfaces (Grass × Clay)▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Minnen G.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Inglis M.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+108 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1558
6.7Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1590
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.57 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.35 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 9 matches

Statistics

This season
Minnen G.Inglis M.
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Minnen G.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Inglis M.

Inglis M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Minnen G.

Serve advantage — Minnen G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Minnen G.Inglis M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
8
22
Break points saved·Dominant
8
50
Break points won·Dominant
67
25
Deciding sets·Clear edge
15
36
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Minnen G.Inglis M.
Freshness·
99
—

Minnen G.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
16°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw