Ergi Kirkin vs Paul InchauspeSamsun Round of 32

Samsun · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#602ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLLLWW
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
#770ATP
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWWWW
Kirkin E.
vs
Inchauspe P.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Kirkin E.34%
Inchauspe P.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Inchauspe P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.03 of last 6 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

15 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
54%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
57%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
31%
Break points saved·Clear edge
56%
78%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kirkin E.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Inchauspe P.

Inchauspe P.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kirkin E.

Serve advantage — Kirkin E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
58

Inchauspe P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw