Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikata — Los Cabos Round of 32
CAN8
Shapovalov D.
Denis Shapovalov faces Rinky Hijikata in the Los Cabos round of 32 on hard. Denis Shapovalov holds the paper edge — ranked #67, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Denis Shapovalov has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 73 vs 37).
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Rinky Hijikata grades 20 on serve, Denis Shapovalov 54 on return.
- Head-to-head: Denis Shapovalov leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Adelaide 1 2023.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-02 | Adelaide 1 | R32 | hard | Denis Shapovalov | 2-6 6-4 6-3 |