Caijsa Wilda Hennemann vs Mia Pohankova

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

SWE

Caijsa Wilda Hennemann

#257WTA

1509ELO

1479Clay ELO

25 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

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—

Sets

Monday, 27 July 2026 · 11:00

clay

COURT 4 · 2nd on

SVK

Mia Pohankova

#243WTA

1708ELO

1601Clay ELO

17 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

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Wilda Hennemann C.

Pohankova M.

Caijsa Wilda Hennemann faces Mia Pohankova in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Mia Pohankova holds the paper edge — ranked #243, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC

Wilda Hennemann C.53%

Pohankova M.47%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Caijsa Wilda Hennemann 46 games in 14 days, Mia Pohankova 21.
Surface form: Caijsa Wilda Hennemann 1 of 5, Mia Pohankova 2 of 5 on clay recently — Mia Pohankova the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

1 common opponents · Wilda Hennemann C. 0–1 · Pohankova M. 0–1 · small sample

Both lost · hard to compare — different surfaces (Clay × Hard) · 7 months apart▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Wilda Hennemann C.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Pohankova M.

6.7

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.5Clay Elo 1479

Surface ELO

6.5+122 Clay Elo edge

2.5Overall Elo 1509

ELO gap

7.5Overall Elo 1708

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.05 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.64 of last 6 on clay

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season

Wilda Hennemann C.Pohankova M.

1st serve in·Clear edge

72%

58%

1st serve points won·Clear edge

55%

68%

2nd serve points won·Even

45%

48%

Service points won·Slight edge

52%

60%

Return points won·Slight edge

50%

44%

Break points saved·Clear edge

49%

64%

Aces / match·Dominant

0.6

5.2

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.9

4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Wilda Hennemann C.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Pohankova M.

Pohankova M.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Wilda Hennemann C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Wilda Hennemann C.Pohankova M.

Freshness·Slight edge

Wilda Hennemann C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Pohankova M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

21°COvercast

Wind 9 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Caijsa Wilda Hennemann vs Mia Pohankova — Targu Mures Round of 32