Tom Gentzsch vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

GER6

Tom Gentzsch

#189ATP

1565ELO

1540Clay ELO

22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWLWWWWLL

—

Sets

Monday, 27 July 2026 · 10:00

clay

BRA

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

#245ATP

1486ELO

1470Clay ELO

$76kYTD

$371kCAREER

26 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLLWWLWLW

Gentzsch T.

Reis Da Silva J.

Tom Gentzsch faces Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva in the Bonn round of 32 on clay. Tom Gentzsch holds the paper edge — ranked #189, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC

Gentzsch T.63%

Reis Da Silva J.37%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gentzsch T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Tom Gentzsch 208 games in 14 days, Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 46.
Surface form: Tom Gentzsch 6 of 9, Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 4 of 9 on clay recently — Tom Gentzsch the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

1 common opponents · Gentzsch T. 1–0 · Reis Da Silva J. 0–1 · small sample

Gentzsch T. better · different surfaces (Clay × Grass) · ⚠ lower-tier event▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Gentzsch T.

6.5

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Reis Da Silva J.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.9+70 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.1Clay Elo 1470

6.0Overall Elo 1565

ELO gap

4.0Overall Elo 1486

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.16 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

3.64 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 4

Fatigue & Travel

0.05 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

30 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season

Gentzsch T.Reis Da Silva J.

1st serve in·Even

67%

66%

1st serve points won·Even

71%

67%

2nd serve points won·Even

49%

50%

Service points won·Even

63%

61%

Return points won·Even

39%

38%

Break points saved·Slight edge

70%

61%

Aces / match·Clear edge

5.1

2.7

Double faults / match·Clear edge

3.1

1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Gentzsch T.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Reis Da Silva J.

Reis Da Silva J.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gentzsch T.

Serve advantage — Gentzsch T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Gentzsch T.Reis Da Silva J.

Freshness·Dominant

Gentzsch T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 137 games (7d) · Reis Da Silva J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather forecast

19°CMainly clear

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 77%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Tom Gentzsch vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva — Bonn Round of 32