Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodar — Washington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
Arthur Fils
FRA8
Arthur Fils
#23ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWWWW
—
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
Rafael Jodar
ESP
Rafael Jodar
#25ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10
LWWLWWWWLW
Fils A.
vs
Jodar R.

Arthur Fils faces Rafael Jodar in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Arthur Fils holds the paper edge — ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Fils A.68%
Jodar R.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fils A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Serve & return: Arthur Fils brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 60), Rafael Jodar the stronger return game (Return Rating 70).
  • Head-to-head: Arthur Fils leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Barcelona 2026.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
7 common opponents · Fils A. 4–3 · Jodar R. 3–5
Both lost · same surface, 0 days apart▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Fils A.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Jodar R.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+57 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1873
5.0Overall Elo 2001
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1999
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.98 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

28 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
Fils A.Jodar R.
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
58%
56%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.4
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fils A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Jodar R.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Fils A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Fils A.Jodar R.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
86
Break points saved·Even
95
91
Break points won·Clear edge
51
71
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Even
97
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13BarcelonaSFclayArthur Fils3-6 6-3 6-2

Draw