Leylah Fernandez vs Magda LinetteWashington Round of 32

Washington · WTA · Round of 32
#25WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$906kYTD
$8.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLWWLL
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
#51WTA
1831ELO
1780Hard ELO
$732kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWWLWWL
Fernandez L.
vs
Linette M.

Leylah Fernandez faces Magda Linette in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Leylah Fernandez holds the paper edge — ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 3–1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Fernandez L.57%
Linette M.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
10 common opponents · Fernandez L. 7–6 · Linette M. 6–7
Linette M. better · same surface · 7 months apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+5 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1780
4.7Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1831
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.33 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
67%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fernandez L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Linette M.

Linette M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
69
42
Break points saved·Dominant
49
14
Break points won·Dominant
81
33
Deciding sets·Even
88
84
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
66
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Linette M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-11-07BJK Cup FinalsRRhardLeylah Fernandez6-2 6-3
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR128clayLeylah Fernandez6-3 1-6 6-3
2022-04-04CharlestonR32clayMagda Linette3-6 6-3 6-4
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR128clayLeylah Fernandez1-6 6-2 6-3

Draw