Timofey Skatov vs Thomas Faurel — San Marino Round of 32

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

KAZ

Timofey Skatov

#163ATP

1544ELO

1531Clay ELO

$110kYTD

$1.1MCAREER

25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWLLWLWWLL

—

Sets

Monday, 27 July 2026 · 08:00

clay

FRA

Thomas Faurel

#314ATP

1459ELO

1424Clay ELO

20 yrs

Last 10

LLWLLLWLWL

Skatov T.

Faurel T.

Timofey Skatov faces Thomas Faurel in the San Marino round of 32 on clay. Timofey Skatov holds the paper edge — ranked #163, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC

Skatov T.59%

Faurel T.41%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Skatov T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Timofey Skatov 158 games in 14 days, Thomas Faurel 87.
Surface form: Timofey Skatov 4 of 9, Thomas Faurel 3 of 9 on clay recently — Timofey Skatov the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

1 common opponents · Skatov T. 0–1 · Faurel T. 1–0 · small sample

Mixed · hard to compare — different surfaces (Hard × Clay) · 8 months apart▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Skatov T.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Faurel T.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

6.3+107 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.7Clay Elo 1424

6.1Overall Elo 1544

ELO gap

3.9Overall Elo 1459

2.2Trails 0–2 on clay

H2H

7.8Leads 2–0 on clay

3.94 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

2.73 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

30 vs 15 matches

Statistics

This season

Skatov T.Faurel T.

1st serve in·Even

61%

65%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

71%

63%

2nd serve points won·Even

51%

54%

Service points won·Even

63%

60%

Return points won·Even

38%

40%

Break points saved·Even

57%

56%

Aces / match·Slight edge

3.4

2.3

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.7

1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Skatov T.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Faurel T.

Faurel T.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Skatov T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Skatov T.Faurel T.

Freshness·Clear edge

Skatov T.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 90 games (7d) · Faurel T.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.