Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLWWWL
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
#31ATP
1812ELO
1766Hard ELO
$1.4MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWLLLL
Nakashima B.
vs
Etcheverry T.

Brandon Nakashima faces Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Tomas Martin Etcheverry holds the paper edge — ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Nakashima B.57%
Etcheverry T.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
15 common opponents · Nakashima B. 5–10 · Etcheverry T. 10–9
Both lost · different surfaces (Hard × Grass)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+22 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1766
5.3Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1812
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.5
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
0.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Etcheverry T.

Etcheverry T.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
22
44
Break points saved·Even
95
93
Break points won·Even
2
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
18
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
68

Etcheverry T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-15BarcelonaR16clayTomas Martin Etcheverry3-6 7-6 6-4

Draw