Jia Jing Lu vs Caroline Dolehide — Vancouver Round of 32

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
CHN
Jia Jing Lu
#405WTA
1346ELO
1313Hard ELO
36 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWLWLL
—
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
Caroline Dolehide
USA
Caroline Dolehide
#260WTA
1673ELO
1638Hard ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLLLLLW
Jing Lu J.
vs
Dolehide C.

Jia Jing Lu faces Caroline Dolehide in the Vancouver round of 32 on hard. Caroline Dolehide holds the paper edge — ranked #260, a roughly 320-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Jing Lu J.30%
Dolehide C.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dolehide C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Jia Jing Lu carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Jia Jing Lu 4 of 7, Caroline Dolehide 5 of 7 on hard recently — Caroline Dolehide the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jing Lu J.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Dolehide C.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.9Hard Elo 1313
Surface ELO
9.1+324 Hard Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1346
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 1673
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season
Jing Lu J.Dolehide C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
4.4
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jing Lu J.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Dolehide C.

Dolehide C.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Jing Lu J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Jing Lu J.Dolehide C.
Clutch Rating·Even
14
12
Break points saved·Clear edge
40
20
Break points won·Dominant
75
22
Deciding sets·Clear edge
12
33
Tiebreaks·
—
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Jing Lu J.Dolehide C.
Freshness·
—
100

Dolehide C.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
16°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw