Moise Kouame vs Grigor Dimitrov — Los Cabos Round of 32

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32

FRAWC

Moise Kouame

#212ATP

1568ELO

1549Hard ELO

17 yrs · 190 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWWLLLLL

—

Sets

Monday, 27 July 2026 · 19:00

hard

BULWC

Grigor Dimitrov

#142ATP

1744ELO

1736Hard ELO

$329kYTD

$32MCAREER

35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWLWWWLWWL

Kouame M.

Dimitrov G.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC

Kouame M.27%

Dimitrov G.73%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dimitrov G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

2 common opponents · Kouame M. 1–1 · Dimitrov G. 0–2 · small sample

Both lost · same surface, 1 days apart▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Kouame M.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Dimitrov G.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

2.7Hard Elo 1549

Surface ELO

7.3+186 Hard Elo edge

2.8Overall Elo 1568

ELO gap

7.2Overall Elo 1744

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.86 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

2.73 of last 10 on hard

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

6.0Clay → Hard

Surface transition

6.0Clay → Hard

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

13 vs 11 matches

Statistics

This season

Kouame M.Dimitrov G.

1st serve in·Even

61%

62%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

68%

76%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

49%

44%

Service points won·Even

61%

64%

Return points won·Slight edge

38%

30%

Break points saved·Clear edge

65%

53%

Aces / match·Dominant

4.1

7.5

Double faults / match·Even

3.8

3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Kouame M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Dimitrov G.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kouame M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Kouame M.Dimitrov G.

Freshness·Even

Kouame M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Dimitrov G.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather forecast

24°CClear

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.