Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Jurij RodionovBonn Round of 32

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#256ATP
1481ELO
1460Clay ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLWLL
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
#145ATP
1636ELO
1586Clay ELO
$206kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLWLW
Boscardin Dias P.
vs
Rodionov J.

Pedro Boscardin Dias faces Jurij Rodionov in the Bonn round of 32 on clay. Jurij Rodionov holds the paper edge — ranked #145, a roughly 130-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Boscardin Dias P.32%
Rodionov J.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Rodionov J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Boscardin Dias P. 1–0 · Rodionov J. 0–1 · small sample
Boscardin Dias P. better · same surface · ⚠ lower-tier event
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1460
Surface ELO
6.6+127 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1481
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1636
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.42 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
5.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Boscardin Dias P.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Rodionov J.

Rodionov J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Boscardin Dias P.

Serve advantage — Rodionov J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
28
0
Break points saved·Dominant
25
75
Break points won·Slight edge
14
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
80
18
Tiebreaks·Dominant
58
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
73

Boscardin Dias P.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Rodionov J.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 77%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw