Max Dahlin vs Matteo Martineau — Bonn Round of 32
Bonn · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
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Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
Dahlin M.vs
Martineau M.
Max Dahlin faces Matteo Martineau in the Bonn round of 32 on clay. Matteo Martineau holds the paper edge — ranked #335.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTCDahlin M.25%
Martineau M.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Martineau M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Max Dahlin comes in with 11 days of rest and 27 games in 14d, vs Matteo Martineau's 1 and 81.
- Win streak: Matteo Martineau arrives on a 4-match winning run.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
25 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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66%
1st serve points won·
—
71%
2nd serve points won·
—
48%
Service points won·
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63%
Return points won·
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35%
Break points saved·
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65%
Aces / match·
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6.2
Double faults / match·
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4.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
96
69
Dahlin M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Martineau M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 77%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.